Operation Storm Watch

Operation Storm Watch

South Florida's home for hurricane, tropical storm, and severe weather coverage.

 

8 am Thu: Milton's Eye Clears Florida

MIAMI -- While cities clean up and millions are without power, Hurricane Milton's eye is officially out of Florida.

The National Hurricane Center says it's 75 miles east of Cape Canaveral, top winds 85.

Here's the 8 a.m. advisory:

000

WTNT34 KNHC 101152

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

Hurricane Milton Intermediate Advisory Number 21A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024

800 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024

...CENTER OF MILTON PULLING AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL STILL OCCURRING NEAR THE

SPACE COAST...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...28.9N 79.5W

ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA

ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warnings south of Sebastian Inlet and north of the

Flagler/Volusia County Line have been changed to Tropical Storm

Warnings.

The Storm Surge Warning along the Florida west coast has been

discontinued.

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of the Palm

Beach/Martin County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia, including the

St. Johns River

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Florida east coast from Sebastian Inlet northward to the

Flagler/Volusia County Line

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Florida east coast south of Sebastian Inlet to the Palm

Beach/Martin County Line

* Lake Okeechobee

* North of the Flagler/Volusia County Line to Edisto Beach South

Carolina

* Extreme northwestern Bahamas, including Grand Bahama Island, the

Abacos, and Bimini

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening

inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in

the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please

see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,

available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.

Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions

to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for

other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other

instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area in the United

States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please

monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service

forecast office. For storm information specific to your area

outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by

your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Milton was located

near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 79.5 West. Milton is moving

toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general

motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the

east tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Milton will

continue to move away from Florida and pass to the north of the

Bahamas today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher

gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, but Milton is forecast to

become a powerful extratropical low tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205

miles (335 km). A sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust to

76 mph (122 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherstem station in

Marineland. A sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a gust to 67

mph (108 km/h) was recently reported at the Cocoa-Patrick Air Force

Base.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC

and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the

tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by

rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could

reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated

areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Sebastian Inlet, FL to Altamaha Sound, GA...3-5 ft

St. Johns River...2-4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of

onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and

dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative

timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over

short distances. For information specific to your area, please see

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast

office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge

inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm

Surge Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected

across portions of the east-central to northeast Florida coast

through this morning. This rainfall will continue to bring the risk

of considerable flash and urban flooding, along with moderate to

major river flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with

Hurricane Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm

Total Rainfall Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk

graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.

WIND: Hurricane conditions, especially in gusts, are occurring

within the hurricane warning area in Florida. Tropical storm

conditions are occurring in the tropical storm warning areas in

Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and the Bahamas.

SURF: Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to

affect portions of the southeast U.S. and the Bahamas during the

next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening

surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your

local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

Photo: NHC


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